2011年3月29日

美国十大行将就木的行业 Top 10 Dying Industries

国经济正从严重经济衰退中复苏,但一些行业不太可能全面复苏了。

Bloomberg News
固定电话运营商在行将就木行业之列。
研究机构IBIS World出版的一份新的分析报告审视了10大行将就木的行业。公布的名单并不完全令人震惊,但上榜的行业有些是正在被新技术所淘汰,有些则是被更廉价的海外竞争所伤害。

在IBIS World列出的榜单中,即将死亡的最大行业是固定电话运营商。该行业主要被手机和互联网所取代。占主导地位的网络和数字媒体也让报纸出版业、唱片店和录像带租赁公司登上了榜单。另外,十大行将就木行业中也包括胶卷冲洗业,这主要是因为数字影像技术的影响力不断扩大。

廉价的进口商品被认为是造成服装生产商和棉纺厂衰落的原因。正装租赁业也是一个行将末路的行业。导致这个行业没落的原因,一是来自海外的竞争;二是制作正装的成本降低,使得拥有一套正装比租赁一套正装更有吸引力。

上榜行业中,唯独预制房经销商是经济衰退的牺牲品。房地产市场的兴旺造就了该行业的短暂繁荣,但如今,泡沫破灭已经有几年的时间了,该行业仍在苦苦挣扎。

行业 2010年收入(以百万美元计) 2000年至2010年收入下滑幅度 预计2010年至2016年收入下滑幅度 2010年业内企业数量 2000年至2010年企业数量减少幅度 预计2010年至2016年企业数量减少幅度
固定电话运营商 $154,096 -54.9% -37.1% 23,474 -10.5% -15.9%
棉纺厂 $54,645 -50.2% -10.0% 9,553 -23.6% -12.8%
报纸出版业 $40,726 -35.9% -18.8% 6,128 -28.6% -17.6%
服装制造 $12,800 -77.1% -8.5% 2,265 -60.5% -11.3%
DVD、游戏和录像带租赁 $7,839 -35.7% -19.3% 17,369 -34.8% -11.2%
预制房经销商 $4,538 -73.7% -62.0% 3,968 -56.7% -58.7%
视频后期制作 $4,276 -24.9% -10.7% 1,789 -43.2% -37.8%
唱片店 $1,804 -76.3% -39.7% 2,916 -77.4% -11.6%
胶卷冲洗 $1,603 -69.1% -39.1% 7,083 -59.3% -33.3%
正装和服装租赁 $736 -35.0% -14.6% 2,310 -28.5% -17.0%


Phil Izzo
(本文版权归道琼斯公司所有,未经许可不得翻译或转载。)


The U.S. economy is recovering from a severe recession, but some industries are unlikely to ever fully bounce back.

A new analysis by research firm IBIS World looks at 10 industries that appear to be dying. The list isn't exactly shocking, but it represents a mix of sectors that are being left behind by technology or have been hurt by cheaper overseas competition.

The biggest industry profiled by IBISWorld is wired telecom carriers, largely being supplanted by cellphones and the Internet. The dominance of the Web and digital media also puts Newspaper publishers, record stores and video-rental companies on the list. Meanwhile, photofinishing also takes its place among the top 10 dying industries thanks to the growing influence of digital photography.

Cheap imports are blamed for a decline in mills and apparel manufacturers. Companies that rent formal wear are also counted among dying industries amid both competition from abroad and lower prices making owning your own formal wear a more attractive option than renting.

The only clear recession casualty that makes the list is manufactured home dealers. The housing boom led to a surge in the industry, but now years after the bubble burst the sector has continued to struggle.

Phil Izzo

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